PyPSA-Earth · Taiwan

Taiwan energy system model台灣能源系統模型

An open model of Taiwan's electricity system台灣電力系統的開放模型

What does it take to keep Taiwan's lights on, and cut its emissions? 要讓台灣穩定供電、同時減少排放,需要什麼?

Taiwan imports 99% of its energy, runs an island grid with no links to its neighbours, and must grow its supply for a booming chip industry while moving away from coal. This site uses an open-source model (PyPSA-Earth) with official Taiwanese data to explore these questions: hour by hour, over a full year. 台灣 99% 的能源仰賴進口,電網是無對外聯網的孤島,還要在減少燃煤的同時,為蓬勃發展的半導體產業增加供電。本網站以開源模型(PyPSA-Earth)與台灣官方資料,逐時模擬一整年,探討這些問題。

Imported energy進口能源依存度
99.0%
of energy supply, 2025能源供給,2025 年
Electricity from gas and coal燃氣與燃煤發電占比
83%
gas 47.7%, coal 35.3%, 2025燃氣 47.7%、燃煤 35.3%,2025 年
Renewable share再生能源發電占比
13.3%
of generation, 2025; target 30% in 20302025 年;2030 年目標 30%
Demand growth用電成長
1.7–2.5%/yr
official outlooks, 2025–2035官方展望,2025–2035 年

Sources: Energy Administration annual statistics (data.gov.tw 8308, 16481); MOEA supply-demand report 113年度 and its 114年度 news release. Details on the資料來源:能源署年度統計(data.gov.tw 8308、16481);經濟部 113 年度全國電力資源供需報告及 114 年度新聞稿。詳見 Taiwan energy data page台灣能源資料頁.

Explore開始探索

Sandbox: what if…?情境沙盒:如果……?

Add offshore wind, restart nuclear, retire coal, cap CO₂ or change prices, and see cost, emissions and supply security, with uncertainty ranges.增加離岸風電、重啟核電、燃煤除役、設定 CO₂ 上限或改變價格,查看成本、排放與供電安全,並附不確定性範圍。

Energy security: blockade能源安全:封鎖情境

If fuel ships stop arriving for 14 to 60 days, how much electricity can Taiwan still supply with its LNG, coal and oil stocks, and what helps?若燃料船 14 至 60 天無法抵達,台灣靠液化天然氣、燃煤與燃油存量還能供應多少電力?哪些措施有幫助?

Taiwan's energy challenges台灣的能源挑戰

Import dependence, an island grid, the north–south imbalance, nuclear phase-out, growing demand and the path to net zero.進口依賴、孤島電網、北電南送的不平衡、非核、用電成長,以及邁向淨零之路。

Model dashboard模型儀表板

Every model run in detail: generation mix, hourly dispatch, prices, the grid, inputs, and 2030/2034 plans.每次模擬的詳細結果:發電結構、逐時調度、電價、電網、輸入資料,以及 2030/2034 年規劃。

Model data模型資料

What the model is built from: the grid and its six regions, every power plant, renewable potential by area, and technology costs to 2050.模型的組成:電網與六個區域、每座電廠、各地再生能源潛力,以及至 2050 年的技術成本。

Taiwan energy data台灣能源資料

History since 2005, official projections and targets, key figures, and every source with its page and checksum.2005 年以來的歷史、官方預測與目標、關鍵數據,以及每個來源的頁碼與檢查碼。

Sector-coupled model (draft)部門耦合模型(草稿)

Work in progress: electricity together with heat, transport and industry, compared with official 2025 statistics. Not yet reviewed.進行中:電力結合熱能、運輸與工業,並與官方 2025 年統計比較。尚未審閱。

Request a simulation申請新模擬

A scenario that is not in the sandbox yet? Send a request; results are added to the site.沙盒裡還沒有的情境?送出申請,結果會加到網站上。

About關於

Who builds this, how the model works, and what it can and cannot tell you.誰在做這個、模型如何運作,以及它能與不能回答什麼。

A research model, not an official forecast: 6 regions, 4-hour time steps and a few weather years. Use it to compare options, not to predict exact numbers.這是研究模型,不是官方預測:6 個區域、每 4 小時一個時段、少數幾個氣象年。適合用來比較方案,而不是預測精確數字。